Holstein Kiel vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.8%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
31%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1979 |
ARB
3 - 0
HOL
75%
16%
9%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1979 |
HOL
1 - 3
DSC
48%
24%
27%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1979 |
USO
4 - 0
HOL
69%
19%
13%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1979 |
HOL
3 - 1
AHA
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1979 |
ROT
6 - 0
HOL
82%
12%
6%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1979 |
AAA
1 - 0
WUP
77%
15%
8%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1979 |
OSV
0 - 1
AAA
37%
27%
36%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1979 |
AAA
2 - 1
OSC
74%
16%
9%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1979 |
SCH
1 - 2
AAA
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1979 |
AAA
3 - 0
WAT
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |