Holstebro vs Varde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
32.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstebro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
BRA
0 - 0
HOL
57%
23%
21%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
HOL
1 - 1
SKI
41%
24%
35%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2011 |
HOL
1 - 4
THI
24%
23%
53%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
SVE
2 - 3
HOL
66%
19%
16%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
HOL
1 - 3
JAM
23%
24%
54%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Varde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
VAR
2 - 6
NAS
45%
24%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
DJU
2 - 0
VAR
31%
24%
45%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
OTB
1 - 1
VAR
38%
24%
39%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
VAR
2 - 3
BRA
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
SKI
1 - 1
VAR
49%
22%
28%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |