Holguín vs Matanzas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
14.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holguín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2009 |
LAS
0 - 2
HOL
53%
25%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2009 |
CAM
1 - 0
HOL
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
IND
0 - 2
HOL
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2009 |
MAT
2 - 1
HOL
31%
27%
43%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
HOL
1 - 0
FCL
56%
24%
19%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Matanzas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2009 |
FCL
0 - 1
MAT
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2009 |
CIU
1 - 1
MAT
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
MAT
1 - 4
GRA
33%
27%
40%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2009 |
MAT
2 - 1
HOL
31%
27%
43%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
MAT
1 - 2
LAS
31%
29%
40%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |