Holbæk vs Tårnby FF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
6º
2º
29
1º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
29 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holbæk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
HER
1 - 4
HOL
17%
18%
66%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
HOL
4 - 1
GSL
63%
18%
19%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
GRE
3 - 3
HOL
34%
22%
44%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
HOL
1 - 1
BRØ
46%
24%
31%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
KFU
1 - 1
HOL
32%
22%
46%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Tårnby FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
TAR
1 - 2
BFR
9%
14%
77%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
TAR
1 - 2
KAR
27%
24%
50%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
B19
1 - 1
TAR
38%
22%
41%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
TAR
2 - 1
GVI
61%
20%
19%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
TAR
2 - 0
KFU
50%
22%
28%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |