Netherlands U17 vs Wales U17s analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.7%
17%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
7.8%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2015 |
NLD
1 - 1
ITA
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
NLD
1 - 1
ENG
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2015 |
IRL
0 - 0
NLD
13%
20%
68%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
BEL
0 - 0
NLD
17%
19%
64%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
NLD
1 - 1
NIR
71%
19%
10%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Wales U17s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
WLS
1 - 0
ISL
40%
26%
35%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2015 |
AUT
3 - 2
WLS
73%
17%
10%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
RUS
0 - 0
WLS
69%
19%
12%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2014 |
MNE
1 - 2
WLS
37%
24%
40%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
WLS
1 - 2
BLR
39%
23%
38%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |