AD Hogar Alcarreño vs CD Bargas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
11.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+127%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Hogar Alcarreño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
CAB
0 - 1
HAL
44%
24%
33%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
HAL
2 - 0
YUN
67%
18%
15%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 2
HAL
45%
24%
31%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
HAL
2 - 2
MAD
42%
24%
34%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
TOL
2 - 1
HAL
50%
23%
27%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD Bargas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
YUN
3 - 1
BAR
33%
24%
43%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 1
MAD
29%
25%
46%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
QUI
3 - 2
BAR
44%
25%
31%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 3
ADS
44%
24%
32%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BCO
1 - 0
BAR
36%
24%
40%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -1 |