Hoek vs Capelle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
31.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hoek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
EXC
0 - 3
HOE
51%
23%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
HOE
2 - 2
KLO
65%
19%
16%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
RIJ
1 - 0
HOE
62%
20%
18%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
HOE
1 - 1
LIS
31%
23%
46%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
KAT
3 - 1
HOE
57%
22%
21%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Capelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
CAP
4 - 2
KLO
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
LIS
0 - 1
CAP
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
CAP
0 - 0
QUI
51%
23%
26%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
AJA
1 - 1
CAP
35%
26%
40%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
CAP
3 - 0
TER
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +2 |