HNK Sibenik vs HNK Rijeka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
67.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
3º
10º
10º
49
3º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Sibenik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
HNS
5 - 0
ZAG
84%
12%
4%
|
63 | 33 | 30 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 1
HNS
20%
23%
57%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
OLI
0 - 0
HNS
67%
19%
14%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
BAC
2 - 1
HNS
71%
17%
12%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
LOK
2 - 1
HNS
70%
19%
11%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
RIJ
1 - 2
FCK
66%
19%
16%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2022 |
SPA
2 - 0
RIJ
45%
22%
32%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
TRI
1 - 5
RIJ
12%
17%
71%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 1
RIJ
19%
22%
59%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2022 |
RIJ
6 - 0
BRI
87%
10%
3%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | 0 |