HNK Sibenik vs HNK Orijent Rijeka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
7.2%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
73
1º
2º
1º
30
7º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
73 | 79 |
1º
|
44.5% | |
|
1º
|
75 | 79 |
2º
|
44.5% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 43 |
4º
|
77% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 41 |
5º
|
41.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 40 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 37 |
7º
|
26% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 36 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 36 |
9º
|
26% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 34 |
10º
|
32.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 32 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 27 |
12º
|
92.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
44.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
55.5% | 87.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 12.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Sibenik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
ZRI
2 - 0
HNS
30%
28%
42%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
BIJ
0 - 1
HNS
16%
25%
59%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
HNS
1 - 0
SOL
77%
16%
8%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
VUK
1 - 1
HNS
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
NKJ
0 - 3
HNS
22%
26%
52%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Orijent Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
ORI
1 - 1
SOL
43%
24%
34%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
VUK
2 - 0
ORI
69%
18%
12%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
ORI
0 - 1
NKJ
45%
24%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
DUB
3 - 2
ORI
49%
23%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ZMI
6 - 2
ORI
37%
24%
39%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -2 |