HNK Sibenik vs Lokomotiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
54%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
3º
10º
10º
43
3º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Sibenik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
HNG
0 - 0
HNS
71%
19%
10%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
HNS
0 - 1
RIJ
13%
19%
68%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
HNS
5 - 0
ZAG
84%
12%
4%
|
63 | 33 | 30 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 1
HNS
20%
23%
57%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
OLI
0 - 0
HNS
67%
19%
14%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
LOK
2 - 1
OSI
29%
25%
45%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2022 |
DZG
3 - 2
LOK
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
AJA
3 - 0
LOK
80%
13%
7%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
MTA
3 - 0
LOK
51%
24%
26%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
GAE
2 - 0
LOK
31%
25%
44%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |