HNK Gorica vs Dinamo Zagreb analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
50.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
3º
8º
7º
78
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
78 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
60.5% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 54 |
5º
|
60.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
6º
|
86% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 41 |
7º
|
54.5% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
60.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
99.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 8 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
LOK
1 - 1
HNG
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
NKV
2 - 4
HNG
48%
26%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
IST
0 - 0
HNG
39%
28%
33%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
HNG
0 - 3
HKS
23%
26%
51%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
RUD
2 - 1
HNG
18%
26%
56%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
DZG
4 - 1
IST
74%
17%
10%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
HKS
0 - 1
DZG
44%
25%
31%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
HKS
0 - 1
DZG
45%
25%
31%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
RUD
0 - 3
DZG
7%
19%
74%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
PAO
5 - 1
DZG
40%
25%
36%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |