HNK Cibalia vs Marsonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Cibalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
DZG
3 - 2
HNK
80%
14%
7%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
HNK
2 - 0
NKV
30%
25%
45%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
ZAD
4 - 1
HNK
40%
28%
32%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2003 |
MOS
1 - 2
HNK
16%
23%
61%
|
72 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
INT
1 - 0
HNK
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Marsonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
MAR
0 - 1
INT
57%
22%
21%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
KIV
5 - 0
MAR
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
MAR
3 - 0
ZAG
32%
27%
42%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
HKS
5 - 0
MAR
75%
17%
8%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
MAR
0 - 0
SLA
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |