HJK Helsinki vs AC Oulu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
17.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
12º
2º
21
8º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
HJK
2 - 0
HAK
50%
25%
26%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
HJK
1 - 1
PAN
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
PAN
3 - 0
HJK
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
ILV
3 - 0
HJK
35%
26%
40%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
IFK
1 - 2
HJK
21%
25%
54%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
AC Oulu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
OUL
2 - 0
EKE
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
FCL
1 - 2
OUL
30%
25%
46%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
OUL
1 - 2
SEI
26%
27%
47%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
SEI
2 - 0
OUL
58%
21%
22%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
OUL
1 - 0
KUO
23%
26%
51%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |