UCL Qualifying Third Round Final
Global 1-4
HJK Helsinki vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
34.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
HJK
3 - 3
VAA
72%
18%
10%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
CEL
2 - 1
HJK
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
HON
1 - 0
HJK
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2012 |
KRR
1 - 2
HJK
52%
23%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
HJK
1 - 0
HAK
78%
15%
7%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
CEL
1 - 0
ABE
71%
19%
10%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
CEL
2 - 1
HJK
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
CEL
1 - 1
INT
30%
26%
44%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
CEL
5 - 0
HOM
61%
23%
16%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 0
CEL
35%
25%
40%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -2 |