Q. Europa League First Round Final
Global 3-1
HJK Helsinki vs Atlantas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 2
HJK
28%
23%
49%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2016 |
FCL
0 - 3
HJK
34%
25%
40%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
SEI
2 - 3
HJK
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2016 |
KUO
1 - 4
HJK
25%
25%
51%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
HJK
1 - 1
ROP
57%
24%
20%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Atlantas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 2
HJK
28%
23%
49%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2016 |
SUD
3 - 3
ATL
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2016 |
APO
2 - 2
ATL
67%
19%
13%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 0
STU
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
ATV
0 - 7
ATL
5%
12%
83%
|
68 | 13 | 55 | 0 |