UCL Qualifying 3rd Round Final
Global 2-4
HJK Helsinki vs APOEL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
27%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
INT
3 - 3
HJK
31%
27%
41%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
HJK
2 - 1
RAB
67%
19%
14%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
HJK
2 - 0
SEI
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2014 |
RAB
0 - 0
HJK
34%
24%
42%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
KUO
2 - 2
HJK
33%
26%
41%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
APOEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2014 |
APO
2 - 0
ERG
74%
17%
9%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2014 |
GDA
1 - 2
APO
36%
27%
37%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
AEL
0 - 3
APO
48%
27%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2014 |
APO
2 - 0
ERM
61%
21%
19%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
APO
8 - 1
ANO
59%
23%
19%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |