Hitchin Town vs St. Albans City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
28.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hitchin Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 4
HIT
38%
25%
37%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
HIT
0 - 1
ARL
57%
22%
21%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
LEA
3 - 0
HIT
57%
22%
21%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
STN
2 - 3
HIT
62%
20%
18%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
HIT
3 - 0
RED
55%
23%
22%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
St. Albans City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
STA
2 - 4
STO
42%
24%
35%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
CHE
2 - 1
STA
48%
24%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
STA
4 - 0
FRO
60%
22%
18%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
STA
3 - 2
CAM
51%
24%
25%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
BAN
2 - 2
STA
34%
25%
41%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |