Histon vs Sutton United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Histon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
HIS
1 - 0
WEL
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
SAL
0 - 3
HIS
33%
28%
39%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
HIS
2 - 1
BOG
67%
20%
14%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2007 |
HIS
2 - 1
CAM
65%
20%
14%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
BED
0 - 2
HIS
14%
23%
64%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Sutton United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
SUT
3 - 1
EAS
28%
27%
45%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
FIS
2 - 1
SUT
44%
24%
33%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
SUT
0 - 1
SAL
28%
26%
46%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
HAV
1 - 0
SUT
59%
22%
18%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2007 |
SUT
0 - 0
DOR
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |