Hilltop vs Harefield United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
43.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hilltop
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
EDT
2 - 0
HFC
81%
12%
7%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
HFC
4 - 1
BUR
49%
21%
30%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
VIR
1 - 0
HFC
17%
18%
65%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Harefield United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
MEF
2 - 1
HAR
56%
21%
23%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
HAR
3 - 2
WIN
75%
15%
11%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
HOL
1 - 1
HAR
9%
14%
76%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
HAR
3 - 2
LOR
67%
18%
15%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
HAR
2 - 1
BRU
56%
20%
24%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |