Hills Brumbies vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
61.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hills Brumbies
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
MAR
4 - 0
HIB
67%
19%
15%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
HIB
2 - 0
STG
33%
22%
45%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +4 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
SGS
1 - 0
HIB
30%
21%
49%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
NWS
3 - 1
HIB
36%
22%
42%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SUT
2 - 1
HIB
21%
20%
60%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
SYD
1 - 7
API
12%
17%
71%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
WSW
0 - 6
API
40%
23%
37%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
API
3 - 2
ROC
37%
25%
38%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
API
1 - 5
SYD
63%
21%
17%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
WOL
1 - 2
API
28%
23%
48%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |