Hilden vs MSV Duisburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
35.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hilden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
DUS
0 - 1
HIL
44%
22%
34%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
VFB
1 - 1
HIL
24%
21%
55%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
HIL
2 - 1
SFB
62%
19%
19%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
JDH
3 - 6
HIL
54%
22%
25%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
HIL
5 - 2
KAP
45%
23%
32%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
MSV
0 - 0
GRA
61%
19%
19%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
SWE
0 - 1
MSV
27%
24%
49%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
MSV
3 - 0
RWO
51%
21%
27%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
WUP
2 - 0
MSV
53%
22%
25%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MSV
3 - 0
VFB
73%
16%
11%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |