Oberliga Niederrhein. Jor. 3

Hilden vs Hamborn analysis

Hilden Hamborn
38 ELO 20
6.2% Tilt 19.8%
4723º General ELO ranking 8049º
147º Country ELO ranking 342º
ELO win probability
80.9%
Hilden
12.3%
Draw
6.8%
Hamborn

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.9%
Win probability
Hilden
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
6.8%
Win probability
Hamborn
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hilden
-24%
-8%
Hamborn

Points and table prediction

Hilden
Their league position
Hamborn
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
79
56
19º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Velbert
94
94
100%
Hilden
79
79
100%
TVD Velbert
78
78
100%
Germania Ratingen
74
74
100%
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
73
73
100%
KFC Uerdingen 05
72
72
100%
Schonnebeck
61
61
100%
Meerbusch
59
59
100%
SF Baumberg
58
58
100%
Sonsbeck
10º
56
56
10º
100%
Hamborn
11º
56
56
11º
100%
SC St. Tönis
12º
55
55
12º
100%
Homberg
13º
52
52
13º
0%
Kleve
15º
52
52
14º
100%
SC Union Nettetal
14º
52
52
15º
0%
MSV Düsseldorf
16º
50
50
16º
100%
1.FC Monheim
17º
42
42
17º
100%
Cronenberger
18º
29
29
18º
0%
Turu 1880 Dusseldorf
19º
29
29
19º
0%
Kray
20º
25
25
20º
100%
FSV Duisburg
21º
18
18
21º
100%
Expected probabilities
Hilden
Hamborn
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Hilden
Hamborn
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hilden
Hilden
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Aug. 2022
KRA
Kray
1 - 3
Hilden
HIL
10%
15%
75%
38 19 19 0
07 Aug. 2022
HIL
Hilden
1 - 1
1.FC Monheim
1FC
71%
16%
12%
38 27 11 0
28 Jul. 2022
SVW
SV Wermelskirchen
1 - 4
Hilden
HIL
8%
12%
80%
38 17 21 0
18 Jun. 2022
F95
Fortuna Düsseldorf
5 - 0
Hilden
HIL
85%
11%
4%
38 71 33 0
03 Jun. 2022
HIL
Hilden
2 - 0
1.FC Monheim
1FC
69%
17%
14%
37 28 9 +1

Matches

Hamborn
Hamborn
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Aug. 2022
HAM
Hamborn
1 - 2
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
SWE
31%
22%
47%
21 27 6 0
07 Aug. 2022
VFB
Homberg
0 - 0
Hamborn
HAM
66%
19%
16%
21 30 9 0
06 Mar. 2022
HAM
Hamborn
5 - 1
Mülheimer FC 97
MFC
38%
22%
40%
20 23 3 +1
05 Dec. 2021
HAM
Hamborn
5 - 2
SV Wermelskirchen
SVW
44%
22%
34%
18 20 2 +2
28 Nov. 2021
SPE
Speldorf
2 - 2
Hamborn
HAM
48%
21%
31%
18 17 1 0
X