Hibernians vs Hamrun Spartans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
32.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
2º
10º
6º
69
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hibernians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
VAL
1 - 1
HIB
30%
26%
45%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
HIB
1 - 3
RIG
27%
23%
50%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
RIG
1 - 1
HIB
61%
20%
19%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
LEV
1 - 1
HIB
64%
19%
17%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
HIB
3 - 2
LEV
25%
23%
52%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Hamrun Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
HAM
3 - 3
PAR
28%
27%
45%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
PAR
4 - 1
HAM
67%
19%
14%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
LSO
1 - 2
HAM
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
HAM
0 - 1
LSO
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
HAM
1 - 0
VEL
41%
26%
34%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |