SPL Round 1

Hibernian FC vs Kilmarnock analysis

Hibernian FC Kilmarnock
72 ELO 73
7.7% Tilt -0.4%
468º General ELO ranking 525º
Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
51.9%
Hibernian FC
23.6%
Draw
24.5%
Kilmarnock

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
Hibernian FC
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.5%
Win probability
Kilmarnock
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hibernian FC
+5%
+2%
Kilmarnock

ELO progression

Hibernian FC
Kilmarnock
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hibernian FC
Hibernian FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jul. 2004
VET
Vetra
1 - 0
Hibernian FC
HIB
40%
26%
34%
74 70 4 0
03 Jul. 2004
HIB
Hibernian FC
1 - 1
Vetra
VET
67%
19%
14%
74 70 4 0
15 May. 2004
LIV
Livingston
4 - 1
Hibernian FC
HIB
44%
27%
30%
75 74 1 -1
08 May. 2004
ABE
Aberdeen
0 - 1
Hibernian FC
HIB
45%
26%
29%
74 73 1 +1
05 May. 2004
HIB
Hibernian FC
1 - 2
Partick Thistle
PAR
71%
18%
11%
75 65 10 -1

Matches

Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 May. 2004
PAR
Partick Thistle
2 - 2
Kilmarnock
KIL
37%
26%
37%
73 66 7 0
12 May. 2004
KIL
Kilmarnock
4 - 0
Aberdeen
ABE
47%
26%
28%
72 73 1 +1
08 May. 2004
DUN
Dundee
2 - 0
Kilmarnock
KIL
47%
26%
28%
72 73 1 0
01 May. 2004
KIL
Kilmarnock
4 - 2
Livingston
LIV
38%
26%
36%
72 76 4 0
24 Apr. 2004
KIL
Kilmarnock
2 - 0
Hibernian FC
HIB
40%
27%
34%
71 75 4 +1