Hibernian FC vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
33.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
3º
12º
3º
40
6º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hibernian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
DUN
3 - 2
HIB
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
HIB
1 - 2
MHE
47%
25%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
GLA
1 - 0
HIB
61%
21%
19%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
HIB
2 - 0
STJ
68%
20%
13%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
KIL
1 - 1
HIB
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
HOM
2 - 0
OMO
49%
24%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
HOM
4 - 0
STM
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ABE
3 - 2
HOM
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
DNM
1 - 2
HOM
45%
25%
31%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
HOM
1 - 1
ROS
62%
22%
17%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |