Hibernian FC vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
45.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hibernian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
ICT
2 - 0
HIB
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2012 |
HIB
4 - 0
DUN
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
ABE
1 - 2
HIB
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
STM
1 - 0
HIB
44%
26%
29%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
HIB
0 - 1
KIL
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
CEL
5 - 0
HOM
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
HOM
2 - 0
STJ
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
HOM
0 - 1
MHE
50%
26%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
DUN
2 - 2
HOM
53%
26%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
HOM
0 - 3
GLA
35%
26%
38%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |