HHC Hardenberg vs Kozakken Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
17.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
1º
5º
4º
40
2º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 60 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 55 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
39 | 39 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 26 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
20 | 20 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HHC Hardenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SPA
1 - 4
HHC
36%
24%
41%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
HHC
2 - 1
KON
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
HHC
0 - 1
ZWO
12%
18%
70%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
KAT
2 - 1
HHC
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
EXC
2 - 2
HHC
26%
24%
50%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Kozakken Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
KOZ
0 - 1
RIJ
26%
21%
52%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
TIE
1 - 1
KOZ
25%
24%
51%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
KOZ
2 - 2
VIT
7%
14%
80%
|
44 | 77 | 33 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
KOZ
1 - 4
IJS
66%
19%
15%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
DET
3 - 0
KOZ
29%
25%
46%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -2 |