Heybridge Swifts vs Maldon & Tiptree analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heybridge Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2009 |
HEY
2 - 1
BRE
37%
26%
37%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2009 |
MAL
1 - 2
HEY
35%
26%
39%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
TIL
0 - 2
HEY
56%
23%
21%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +2 |
| 08 Dec. 2009 |
EAS
4 - 0
HEY
69%
19%
13%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
HEY
4 - 0
RED
38%
26%
36%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Maldon & Tiptree
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2009 |
MAL
1 - 2
HEY
35%
26%
39%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2009 |
EAS
3 - 1
MAL
78%
14%
7%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
MAL
0 - 4
ENF
26%
24%
51%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
TIL
2 - 0
MAL
58%
23%
20%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -2 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
MAL
4 - 0
ILF
54%
24%
22%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +2 |