Heybridge Swifts vs Harrow Borough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
26.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heybridge Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2007 |
WEA
2 - 2
HEY
40%
25%
36%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
AFC
1 - 0
HEY
58%
23%
20%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
HEY
0 - 1
FOL
61%
23%
16%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2007 |
HEY
2 - 2
BIL
29%
27%
44%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
ASH
3 - 2
HEY
36%
26%
38%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Harrow Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2007 |
HAR
5 - 2
LFC
56%
22%
21%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
FOL
1 - 1
HAR
40%
26%
33%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
HAR
3 - 1
BIL
25%
26%
50%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 2007 |
HAR
3 - 1
ASH
37%
26%
38%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
AFC
1 - 2
HAR
73%
18%
10%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | +2 |