FA Cup . Previa 3

Heybridge Swifts vs Gorleston analysis

Heybridge Swifts Gorleston
38 ELO 31
10.4% Tilt -15.2%
7462º General ELO ranking 8778º
366º Country ELO ranking 468º
ELO win probability
69.9%
Heybridge Swifts
17.1%
Draw
13%
Gorleston

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
Heybridge Swifts
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
13%
Win probability
Gorleston
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO progression

Heybridge Swifts
Gorleston
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Heybridge Swifts
Heybridge Swifts
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Aug. 2023
IPS
Ipswich Wanderers
1 - 2
Heybridge Swifts
HEY
33%
23%
44%
38 31 7 0
26 Aug. 2023
HEY
Heybridge Swifts
5 - 1
East Thurrock United FC
EAS
81%
12%
7%
37 23 14 +1
19 Aug. 2023
HEY
Heybridge Swifts
2 - 0
Barking
BAR
53%
22%
25%
36 35 1 +1
12 Aug. 2023
STO
Stowmarket Town
0 - 1
Heybridge Swifts
HEY
43%
24%
34%
35 33 2 +1
21 Jul. 2023
HEY
Heybridge Swifts
1 - 0
Canvey Island
CAN
19%
22%
60%
34 48 14 +1

Matches

Gorleston
Gorleston
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Aug. 2023
GOR
Gorleston
1 - 2
Lowestoft Town
LOW
32%
21%
47%
30 35 5 0
26 Aug. 2023
GRA
Grays Athletic
0 - 2
Gorleston
GOR
51%
22%
28%
28 29 1 +2
19 Aug. 2023
WOO
Woodbridge Town
0 - 1
Gorleston
GOR
42%
23%
35%
27 30 3 +1
12 Aug. 2023
GOR
Gorleston
3 - 1
New Salamis
NSA
29%
22%
49%
24 32 8 +3
05 Aug. 2023
GOR
Gorleston
4 - 1
Heacham FC
HFC
74%
15%
10%
24 8 16 0
X