Heybridge Swifts vs Dereham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
9.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Heybridge Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
MAL
3 - 2
HEY
25%
22%
53%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
HEY
3 - 0
ESS
83%
11%
6%
|
37 | 15 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
YEL
0 - 1
HEY
22%
22%
57%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
HEY
2 - 0
SOH
79%
13%
8%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2018 |
HAR
2 - 0
HEY
43%
23%
34%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Dereham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
DER
0 - 1
FEL
60%
19%
21%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
BED
4 - 1
DER
56%
22%
22%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
DER
4 - 2
CTF
30%
22%
48%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
AVE
6 - 0
DER
48%
23%
29%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
DER
3 - 2
HER
66%
18%
16%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |