Hessen Kassel vs Freiburger FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
10.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hessen Kassel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
PFO
1 - 0
HES
34%
26%
41%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1965 |
HES
2 - 1
SCH
73%
16%
11%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1965 |
FWM
1 - 1
HES
51%
23%
26%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1965 |
HES
6 - 0
FCE
89%
7%
4%
|
61 | 29 | 32 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1965 |
REU
2 - 1
HES
58%
21%
21%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Freiburger FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
FRE
3 - 0
SVS
63%
19%
18%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1965 |
BAY
3 - 1
FRE
60%
21%
19%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1965 |
FRE
2 - 11
BYM
15%
18%
68%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1965 |
FRE
6 - 1
PFO
61%
19%
20%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Jan. 1965 |
SCH
0 - 0
FRE
69%
16%
14%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |