Hertha BSC vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
23.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2010 |
OSN
2 - 0
HER
25%
26%
49%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2010 |
HER
2 - 0
RTV
57%
25%
18%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
PAD
1 - 0
HER
24%
26%
50%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
HER
3 - 1
ING
66%
22%
12%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2010 |
TUS
2 - 1
HER
18%
23%
59%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2010 |
MSV
2 - 2
COT
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
AAA
2 - 2
MSV
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
MSV
2 - 0
SGF
55%
24%
22%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2010 |
F95
1 - 0
MSV
30%
28%
42%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
HAL
0 - 3
MSV
17%
23%
60%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |