Hertha BSC vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2020 |
S04
3 - 2
HER
47%
25%
28%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
HER
0 - 0
S04
29%
23%
47%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
WOL
1 - 2
HER
46%
24%
30%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
HER
0 - 4
BYM
5%
11%
84%
|
81 | 93 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2020 |
HER
2 - 1
EIN
33%
24%
43%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
M05
1 - 3
BYM
4%
9%
87%
|
78 | 93 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
MON
3 - 1
M05
58%
21%
21%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
M05
1 - 2
SCF
39%
24%
37%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
BVB
0 - 2
M05
75%
15%
10%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2020 |
M05
2 - 3
FCE
72%
17%
11%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |