Bundesliga Round 12

Hertha BSC vs Köln analysis

Hertha BSC Köln
80 ELO 76
-9.2% Tilt 2.1%
246º General ELO ranking 97º
25º Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
50.9%
Hertha BSC
25.3%
Draw
23.8%
Köln

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
Hertha BSC
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
23.8%
Win probability
Köln
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hertha BSC
-1%
+2%
Köln

ELO progression

Hertha BSC
Köln
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hertha BSC
Hertha BSC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Nov. 2009
SCH
Heerenveen
2 - 3
Hertha BSC
HER
57%
22%
21%
80 79 1 0
30 Oct. 2009
BVB
B. Dortmund
2 - 0
Hertha BSC
HER
53%
25%
22%
80 84 4 0
25 Oct. 2009
HER
Hertha BSC
0 - 0
Wolfsburg
WOL
26%
25%
49%
80 86 6 0
22 Oct. 2009
HER
Hertha BSC
0 - 1
Heerenveen
SCH
46%
25%
29%
80 79 1 0
17 Oct. 2009
FCN
Nürnberg
3 - 0
Hertha BSC
HER
38%
28%
34%
81 79 2 -1

Matches

Köln
Köln
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Oct. 2009
KOL
Köln
0 - 1
Hannover 96
HAN
38%
26%
37%
75 80 5 0
27 Oct. 2009
EIN
Eintracht Trier
0 - 3
Köln
KOL
13%
19%
68%
75 46 29 0
24 Oct. 2009
MON
B. Mönchengladbach
0 - 0
Köln
KOL
38%
27%
35%
75 73 2 0
17 Oct. 2009
KOL
Köln
1 - 0
Mainz 05
M05
39%
26%
35%
75 79 4 0
03 Oct. 2009
BYM
Bayern München
0 - 0
Köln
KOL
76%
15%
8%
74 90 16 +1