Herstal vs Amay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.2%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
8.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herstal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
HER
5 - 0
SPA
73%
16%
11%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
VER
2 - 2
HER
66%
18%
15%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
BEA
4 - 1
HER
47%
23%
31%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
HER
2 - 3
WEY
74%
16%
11%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
HER
0 - 1
STA
65%
19%
16%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Amay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
AMA
1 - 1
RAE
23%
22%
56%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
SPA
0 - 7
AMA
69%
18%
13%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
AMA
0 - 0
STA
26%
23%
51%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
AMA
0 - 1
VER
13%
19%
69%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
BEA
1 - 0
AMA
70%
18%
12%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |