Herrestads AIF vs Motala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
35.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
3º
11º
4º
29
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 56 |
1º
|
86% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 46 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
29 | 46 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
|
5º
|
28 | 45 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 45 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 39 |
6º
|
32% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 35 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 33 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 33 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 30 |
10º
|
22% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 30 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 24 |
12º
|
37.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 23 |
13º
|
44% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 19 |
14º
|
69% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2.5% | 5.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
17.5% | 27.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
80% | 67% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrestads AIF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
LID
1 - 1
HER
38%
26%
37%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
HER
1 - 1
FBK
33%
25%
42%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2025 |
GRE
1 - 2
HER
30%
21%
49%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
IFH
0 - 2
HER
18%
19%
63%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
HER
4 - 0
TFC
76%
15%
10%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Motala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2025 |
MOT
2 - 2
IKT
65%
19%
16%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
AIF
3 - 3
MOT
33%
25%
42%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
VFK
1 - 4
MOT
23%
21%
56%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2025 |
MOT
1 - 2
KUM
73%
16%
11%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -2 |
| 06 Jun. 2025 |
IKT
1 - 0
MOT
17%
22%
62%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | -1 |