Herrera II vs UDELAS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
54.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-70%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrera II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
IDC
2 - 1
HFC
83%
13%
5%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
HFC
0 - 2
CDU
36%
23%
41%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -2 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
AFM
3 - 0
HFC
77%
15%
8%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
VCD
1 - 1
HFC
32%
23%
46%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
HFC
1 - 1
ACH
28%
25%
47%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
UDELAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
UFC
2 - 0
SAP
31%
25%
44%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
UFC
3 - 1
UDP
53%
22%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 1
UFC
73%
18%
10%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
UFC
2 - 3
SFF
59%
21%
20%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
OES
0 - 1
UFC
68%
20%
12%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | +2 |