Herrera vs Zaragoza 2014 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
18.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
CDM
1 - 3
HER
36%
24%
40%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
HER
2 - 3
CDC
55%
21%
24%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
GIN
1 - 1
HER
63%
20%
17%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
HER
2 - 0
ATC
42%
23%
36%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
HER
2 - 2
UDC
45%
24%
31%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Zaragoza 2014
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
ZAR
4 - 2
CDM
44%
25%
31%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
UDC
2 - 1
ZAR
51%
24%
25%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
ZAR
1 - 0
CDC
37%
24%
39%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
LAA
4 - 2
ZAR
70%
17%
13%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
ZAR
0 - 2
GIN
33%
24%
43%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |