Herrera vs La Almunia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
10.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
HER
4 - 0
DAR
77%
14%
9%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
GOT
0 - 0
HER
34%
23%
43%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
HER
3 - 2
EMB
66%
19%
16%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
RBR
1 - 1
HER
19%
20%
61%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
HER
5 - 0
ZAL
79%
13%
8%
|
14 | 6 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
La Almunia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
GOT
2 - 1
ALM
62%
19%
19%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ALM
2 - 1
EMB
43%
23%
34%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
RBR
2 - 1
ALM
49%
22%
29%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ARI
1 - 3
ALM
32%
23%
45%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ALM
5 - 1
ZAL
57%
20%
22%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | +1 |