Herrera vs Cella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
28.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
CDU
2 - 0
HER
72%
17%
11%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
HER
3 - 1
CDC
46%
23%
31%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 2
HER
28%
23%
49%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
HER
1 - 1
ALC
49%
22%
30%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
CDA
4 - 1
HER
48%
23%
29%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
CEL
1 - 2
LAA
30%
25%
45%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
MAE
0 - 1
CEL
17%
21%
62%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
CEL
2 - 1
AND
48%
23%
29%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
ACF
1 - 1
CEL
29%
24%
47%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
CEL
10 - 1
ALB
74%
16%
10%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | +1 |