Herrera vs Morata CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
18.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
CDC
1 - 3
HER
55%
21%
24%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
HER
1 - 4
GIN
23%
23%
55%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
ATC
3 - 0
HER
49%
23%
27%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
UDC
3 - 0
HER
43%
25%
32%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
HER
1 - 2
LAA
39%
23%
38%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Morata CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
CDM
2 - 1
ZAR
56%
22%
22%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
CDM
2 - 1
CDC
30%
24%
46%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
GIN
3 - 0
CDM
79%
14%
7%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
CDM
1 - 2
ATC
34%
24%
43%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
CDM
1 - 1
UDC
29%
25%
46%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |