Héroes de Falcón vs Rayo Zuliano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
30.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
3º
8º
4º
1
5º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
12 | 12 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
11 | 11 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 11 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
10 | 10 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 9 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 9 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
2 | 2 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
1 | 1 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Héroes de Falcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
DRZ
0 - 1
HFF
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
AAF
3 - 0
HFF
53%
25%
23%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
HFF
0 - 1
ALC
32%
27%
41%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
DRZ
2 - 2
HFF
50%
25%
25%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
HFF
1 - 0
ATL
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Zuliano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
DRZ
0 - 1
HFF
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ALC
2 - 0
DRZ
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
AAF
0 - 0
DRZ
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
DRZ
2 - 2
HFF
50%
25%
25%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
DRZ
4 - 4
TIT
37%
27%
36%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |