Herne Bay vs Leatherhead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
34.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herne Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
RED
1 - 0
HER
36%
23%
41%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
HER
1 - 2
RAM
34%
22%
44%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
EAS
1 - 2
HER
21%
20%
59%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
HER
3 - 0
BED
58%
20%
22%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
BED
1 - 1
HER
27%
22%
50%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Leatherhead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
HOR
2 - 1
LEA
76%
15%
9%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
LEA
0 - 0
HOR
15%
22%
64%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
LEA
0 - 0
WFC
85%
11%
4%
|
32 | 8 | 24 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SOU
1 - 2
LEA
37%
23%
39%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
LEA
2 - 1
SOU
45%
24%
31%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |