Herne Bay vs Faversham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
8.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herne Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
HER
2 - 1
SIT
77%
15%
9%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
HER
2 - 1
THR
82%
12%
6%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
HER
0 - 1
VCD
65%
18%
16%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2020 |
FAV
3 - 3
HER
13%
17%
70%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
HAY
0 - 2
HER
34%
21%
45%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Faversham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
FAV
2 - 0
EAS
51%
22%
27%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
RAM
3 - 0
FAV
41%
24%
35%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
FAV
2 - 2
PHO
26%
24%
51%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
WHY
3 - 1
FAV
73%
16%
11%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2020 |
FAV
3 - 3
HER
13%
17%
70%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +1 |