FA Cup . Previa 2
Global 3-2
Herne Bay vs Croydon Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
22%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herne Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2019 |
HER
3 - 1
PHO
44%
23%
33%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
WHY
2 - 2
HER
49%
22%
30%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2019 |
HER
0 - 4
HEM
21%
21%
58%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
HER
1 - 1
MAI
21%
23%
56%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
PHO
5 - 2
HER
39%
23%
39%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Croydon Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
CRO
1 - 0
VIR
80%
12%
8%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
HOR
2 - 1
CRO
51%
22%
27%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
AUC
1 - 0
CRO
17%
18%
65%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2018 |
HAN
0 - 1
CRO
28%
20%
52%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
CRO
1 - 1
HAN
59%
19%
22%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |