Herne Bay vs Burgess Hill Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
14.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herne Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
CRA
1 - 2
HER
49%
21%
30%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
HER
3 - 0
WHI
54%
22%
24%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
HER
0 - 0
HAY
34%
22%
45%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
VCD
2 - 4
HER
59%
19%
22%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
HER
3 - 2
SEV
36%
23%
41%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Burgess Hill Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
BUR
0 - 7
ASH
27%
23%
51%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
CHI
2 - 2
BUR
64%
18%
18%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
BUR
3 - 1
FAV
52%
22%
27%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
THR
0 - 0
BUR
41%
22%
37%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
BUR
2 - 1
SIT
45%
23%
32%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |