Hernando De Soto vs UD Fornacense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
47.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hernando De Soto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
SPR
4 - 1
HER
74%
15%
11%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
HER
1 - 2
RHI
17%
19%
65%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
BEL
0 - 1
HER
38%
23%
39%
|
6 | 5 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
HER
2 - 1
ATH
45%
22%
33%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
SEG
2 - 1
HER
74%
15%
11%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
UDF
1 - 1
SPR
29%
22%
49%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
RHI
6 - 0
UDF
60%
20%
20%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
UDF
5 - 0
BEL
68%
17%
15%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
ATH
0 - 1
UDF
33%
22%
45%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
UDF
2 - 4
SEG
46%
23%
31%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -1 |