Hernán Cortés vs San Benito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
18.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
+117%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
ACD
0 - 1
HER
16%
22%
63%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
HER
1 - 1
MAL
55%
23%
22%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
OLY
3 - 3
HER
38%
25%
37%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
HER
0 - 2
CAM
70%
18%
12%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
HER
2 - 2
VAL
61%
22%
18%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
San Benito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
GIM
1 - 2
MOR
55%
21%
25%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
CDC
0 - 0
GIM
32%
24%
44%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
GIM
1 - 2
SRE
41%
24%
36%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
ADC
0 - 0
GIM
20%
22%
58%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 2
GIM
10%
18%
72%
|
17 | 5 | 12 | 0 |