Hermes A vs Ripollet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
37.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hermes A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
MAN
1 - 0
FPH
57%
21%
22%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
FPH
3 - 4
UAH
24%
23%
53%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
CFM
2 - 1
FPH
59%
22%
20%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
FPH
0 - 2
FCM
39%
23%
38%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
LLG
1 - 0
FPH
68%
17%
15%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ripollet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
CFR
0 - 1
CEF
45%
25%
30%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
VIC
3 - 0
CFR
43%
25%
32%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
CFR
1 - 2
TON
67%
18%
15%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
CFR
34%
25%
42%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CFR
4 - 3
SAN
54%
22%
25%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |